Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001483 0.001649 0.001814 0.001990 0.002173 0.002357 0.002555
2025-10-05 0.001233 0.001474 0.001722 0.001992 0.002278 0.002571 0.002891
2025-10-12 0.001041 0.001340 0.001654 0.002005 0.002382 0.002773 0.003206
2025-10-19 0.000861 0.001202 0.001570 0.001989 0.002447 0.002927 0.003464
2025-10-26 0.000708 0.001079 0.001492 0.001971 0.002503 0.003066 0.003702
2025-11-02 0.000577 0.000971 0.001421 0.001954 0.002552 0.003193 0.003922
2025-11-09 0.000471 0.000880 0.001363 0.001945 0.002607 0.003323 0.004141
2025-11-16 0.000384 0.000805 0.001317 0.001946 0.002668 0.003455 0.004361
2025-11-23 0.000310 0.000739 0.001277 0.001948 0.002728 0.003583 0.004573
2025-11-30 0.000275 0.000720 0.001292 0.002014 0.002859 0.003788 0.004867
2025-12-07 0.000215 0.000658 0.001250 0.002008 0.002904 0.003896 0.005053
2025-12-14 0.000161 0.000598 0.001206 0.001998 0.002942 0.003994 0.005225
2025-12-21 0.000115 0.000554 0.001194 0.002045 0.003069 0.004217 0.005565
2025-12-28 0.000064 0.000487 0.001150 0.002052 0.003150 0.004390 0.005854
2026-01-04 0.000029 0.000430 0.001115 0.002067 0.003241 0.004575 0.006156
2026-01-11 0.000003 0.000363 0.001059 0.002053 0.003295 0.004716 0.006409
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000301 0.001003 0.002037 0.003345 0.004851 0.006653
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000245 0.000949 0.002020 0.003390 0.004979 0.006889
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000200 0.000905 0.002012 0.003445 0.005117 0.007134
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000162 0.000869 0.002013 0.003509 0.005264 0.007387
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000129 0.000837 0.002016 0.003574 0.005410 0.007639
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000121 0.000850 0.002083 0.003718 0.005650 0.007996
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000091 0.000814 0.002077 0.003770 0.005778 0.008225